Can you walk through the retention rate and ROE relationship to sustainable growth with a detailed example?
I understand the formula g = b x ROE but get confused when ROE changes over time or when the company issues new equity. How does DuPont decomposition connect to sustainable growth, and what happens if a company increases leverage to boost ROE?
The sustainable growth rate (g = b x ROE) tells you how fast a company can grow earnings and dividends without issuing new equity or changing its capital structure. Let's connect it to DuPont decomposition.
DuPont Breakdown of ROE:
ROE = Net Profit Margin x Asset Turnover x Equity Multiplier
ROE = (NI/Sales) x (Sales/Assets) x (Assets/Equity)
So: g = b x (NI/Sales) x (Sales/Assets) x (Assets/Equity)
Detailed Example — Thornbury Industries:
| Component | Year 1 | Year 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Net profit margin | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Asset turnover | 1.5x | 1.5x |
| Equity multiplier | 2.0x | 2.5x |
| ROE | 24.0% | 30.0% |
| Retention rate (b) | 60% | 60% |
| Sustainable growth | 14.4% | 18.0% |
What Happened? Thornbury increased leverage (equity multiplier from 2.0 to 2.5), which boosted ROE from 24% to 30% and sustainable growth from 14.4% to 18.0%.
The Leverage Trap:
While higher leverage mathematically increases ROE and sustainable growth, it also:
- Increases financial risk and probability of distress
- Raises the required return on equity (cost of equity increases)
- May not actually increase firm value if the higher growth is fully offset by higher risk
When Sustainable Growth Breaks Down:
- Company issues new equity: g = b x ROE no longer applies because equity base changed externally
- ROE is temporarily inflated by one-time gains
- Company is at maximum debt capacity (cannot increase leverage further)
CFA Exam Application: If a vignette shows ROE increasing solely due to leverage, recognize that the sustainable growth rate increase may be illusory — the higher required return could offset it entirely.
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