How do Eurodollar futures differ from Treasury futures when hedging interest rate exposure?
I'm studying FRM Part I and keep mixing up Eurodollar futures and Treasury bond futures. Both seem to hedge interest rate risk, but the mechanics look completely different. When would you choose one over the other, and how does convexity bias factor in?
Great question — this trips up a lot of FRM candidates. The two instruments serve different hedging purposes despite both being interest rate derivatives.
Eurodollar Futures
These are based on the 3-month SOFR (formerly LIBOR) rate and are quoted as 100 minus the annualized rate. Each basis point move equals $25 per contract. They hedge short-term funding costs — think a bank that needs to roll its 90-day commercial paper.
Treasury Bond Futures
These deliver an actual Treasury bond (or note) and are quoted in price terms (e.g., 118-16 means 118 and 16/32nds). They hedge longer-duration bond portfolios — think a pension fund managing its 10-year duration.
Key Differences:
| Feature | Eurodollar Futures | Treasury Futures |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying | 3-month SOFR rate | T-Bond or T-Note |
| Settlement | Cash-settled | Physical delivery (CTD bond) |
| Duration exposure | ~0.25 years | 4–20 years depending on contract |
| Quote convention | 100 − rate | Price in 32nds |
| Convexity | Minimal | Significant |
Convexity Bias
Eurodollar futures are linearly priced — each basis point is always $25. But the actual present value of a rate change is nonlinear. This creates a systematic bias: Eurodollar futures rates are slightly higher than equivalent forward rates. The bias grows with maturity. For contracts beyond 2 years, traders apply a convexity adjustment (typically 0.5 × sigma^2 × T1 × T2) to convert futures rates to forward rates.
When to Choose Which:
- Hedging a floating-rate loan resetting in 90 days? Eurodollar futures.
- Hedging a portfolio of 10-year Treasuries? Treasury bond futures with the cheapest-to-deliver analysis.
For more practice on interest rate derivatives, explore our FRM question bank.
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