Why is the P/B ratio linked to ROE, and how do I use this relationship?
My CFA Level I textbook says high ROE justifies high P/B ratios, but I don't understand the mathematical connection. Also, some companies have high P/B but low ROE. How do I reconcile this, and what is the justified P/B formula?
The P/B ratio and ROE are mathematically linked through the Gordon Growth Model. Understanding this relationship is central to CFA Level I equity valuation.
Derivation of Justified P/B:
Start with the Gordon Growth Model:
> V_0 = D_1 / (r - g)
Express D_1 using ROE:
> D_1 = E_1 x p = (B_0 x ROE) x p
where B_0 is book value per share, ROE is return on equity, and p is payout ratio.
Also, g = ROE x (1 - p) = ROE x b (where b = retention ratio)
Substitute:
> V_0 = (B_0 x ROE x p) / (r - g)
Divide by B_0:
> Justified P/B = (ROE x p) / (r - g) = (ROE - g) / (r - g)
The second form comes from substituting p = 1 - g/ROE.
Key Insight:
> Justified P/B = (ROE - g) / (r - g)
- If ROE = r → P/B = 1.0 (the company earns exactly its cost of equity)
- If ROE > r → P/B > 1.0 (creating shareholder value)
- If ROE < r → P/B < 1.0 (destroying value)
Worked Example:
Pinnacle Logistics has:
- Book value per share (B_0) = $20
- ROE = 18%
- Required return (r) = 12%
- Growth (g) = 6%
Justified P/B = (0.18 - 0.06) / (0.12 - 0.06) = 0.12 / 0.06 = 2.0x
Fair value = 2.0 x $20 = $40 per share
If Pinnacle trades at $55 (P/B = 2.75x), it looks overvalued relative to the justified 2.0x.
Why some stocks have high P/B but low ROE:
- The market expects ROE to improve significantly (growth stocks reinvesting heavily)
- Book value is depressed by write-downs or intangible-heavy business models
- The stock may genuinely be overvalued
Why some stocks have low P/B but high ROE:
- The market perceives high risk (high r)
- Earnings may be cyclically elevated and unsustainable
- Potential governance or regulatory concerns
Exam application: When the CFA exam asks whether a stock is fairly valued, calculate the justified P/B from fundamentals and compare it to the actual P/B. The gap tells you the degree of over- or undervaluation.
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