How do you trade volatility directly? I keep hearing about straddles and the 'vol surface' but need clarity.
For CFA Level II, I need to understand how traders express views on volatility itself rather than direction. What are the main strategies, and what does the volatility surface (smile/skew) tell us about market expectations?
Volatility trading means profiting from changes in implied volatility or from realized volatility differing from what the market expects — regardless of which direction the underlying moves.
Core Strategies:
1. Long Straddle (Long Vol):
Buy an ATM call and ATM put with the same strike and expiry. You profit if the stock makes a large move in either direction.
- Cost: Premium of both options (expensive)
- Breakeven: Strike plus/minus total premium paid
- Profit driver: Realized vol > implied vol at entry
2. Long Strangle (Long Vol, Cheaper):
Buy an OTM call and OTM put. Cheaper than a straddle but requires a larger move to profit.
- Lower cost, wider breakeven range
- Popular pre-earnings when you expect a big move but can't predict direction
3. Short Straddle/Strangle (Short Vol):
Sell instead of buy. You collect premium and profit if the stock stays range-bound.
- Maximum profit: Total premium received
- Risk: Unlimited if stock moves sharply
The Volatility Surface:
Implied volatility isn't constant across strikes and expirations — it forms a 3D surface:
Equity Volatility Skew:
In equity markets, OTM puts consistently have higher implied volatility than OTM calls. This 'skew' reflects:
- Demand for downside protection (portfolio insurance)
- Fat left tails — crashes are more common than equivalent rallies
- Leverage effect — falling prices increase firm leverage, increasing volatility
Trading the Skew:
- Risk reversal: Sell an OTM put and buy an OTM call (or vice versa). Expresses a view on skew richness.
- Butterfly spread: Buy 1 low strike call, sell 2 ATM calls, buy 1 high strike call. Profits if skew is mispriced.
Practical Example:
Caspian Capital believes the market is underpricing near-term volatility ahead of a central bank decision. They buy a 2-week ATM straddle on the S&P 500 index at 22% implied vol. If realized vol over those 2 weeks turns out to be 28%, the straddle profits — the stock moved more than the options priced in.
Conversely, if the decision is a non-event and realized vol is only 15%, the straddle loses money from time decay exceeding any directional gains.
Dive deeper into volatility strategies in our CFA Level II Derivatives course.
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